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Luke's avatar

Rob,

I've read a number of studies related to liberal vs conservative vs progressive attitudes towards political violence, and it seems to me that something's missing, at least in what I've read. What if there are people who tolerate or support political violence, but don't tolerate or support public statements expressing such tolerance or support? I'd imagine there's some number of people who think along the lines of, "I'd love it if someone assassinated that politician I hate, but would never say so in public discourse, because that would be in poor taste and might encourage a broader climate of political violence that isn't limited to the politicians I, personally, would like to see shot in the head." It seems to me, someone like that might engage in preference falsification when answering survey questions for a study on attitudes towards political violence for the same reasons they might refrain from making such comments in public discourse. (I'm assuming you're familiar with "preference falsification" as described by economist Timur Kuran, having heard a number of your heterodox social science contemporaries mention it.) It might also be true that one political orientation or another is more or less likely to include people who'd falsify preferences related to political violence. Not sure how to address that issue when considering existing data sets, but ever since reading Kuran's Private Truths, Public Lies at Glenn Loury's recommendation, I've been thinking about how preference falsification might be distorting social science research, and it's troubling. I heard about a study that asked Republicans if they thought the Democrats stole the 2020 election from Trump, and asked Democrats if they supported defunding the police. After getting participants' responses, the researchers talked to them some more, essentially asking if they really believed what they'd said. I don't remember the exact figures, but the percentage of Democrats and Republicans who'd initially falsified their preferences was significantly larger than those who'd given the same responses truthfully. Not sure what can be done about this. You've posted some articles recently that have discussed hypergamy in the dating market. I imagine that's a topic about which people might be less than entirely truthful when stating preferences.

Chief Shamus's avatar

Please examine the current state of American education and whether it will ever recover from declining and woke thinking

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